This is a trading diary containing my views on international financial markets and economic news. I focus on the relationships between bond, currency, commodity and equity markets across countries. All ideas and opinions expressed here are shared for educational purposes. THESE ARE NOT RECOMMENDATIONS!
Jul 7, 2005
London Bombings and the Markets
I don't think the markets have ever seen a 15 pt gap in the S&P index with an 11 handle on the VIX. That will probably lead to a gap in volatility prices when option markets open. The heads on CNBC are reminding people of the fast recovery the markets had after 9/11 and the Madrid bombings but the 11 VIX makes today completely different. There is a much higher risk that the vol increases from such a low level will lead to a very deep and sharp pullback that accelerates over the next few days.
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